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Hurricane IKE


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HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
200 AM EDT MON SEP 08 2008
 
...IKE JUST INLAND OVER EASTERN CUBA...
 
AT 2 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND FOR THE INAGUAS AND MAYAGUANA IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS.

AT 2 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS REPLACED THE
HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...AND FOR THE REMAINING ISLANDS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND...THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS EXCLUDING THE
INAGUAS AND MAYAGUANA. 

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND. 

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE
OF GUANTANAMO WESTWARD THROUGH MATANZAS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF
YOUTH.  
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF
WESTWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS.
   
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND SOUTH FLORIDA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS HURRICANE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.6 WEST OR JUST INLAND NEAR THE
THE NORTH COAST OF EASTERN CUBA IN THE PROVINCE OF LAS TUNAS.  THIS
POSITION IS 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST OF CAMAGUEY.
 
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...23 KM/HR...AND A WEST TO
WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON
THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF IKE WILL MOVE OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL CUBA
TODAY...AND BE NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IKE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS IKE MOVES OVER CUBA DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.
 
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THESE WAVES
COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.
 
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
OVER EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN
BAHAMAS. PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA COULD RECEIVE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...21.2 N...76.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
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