Hurricane IKE

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HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0900 UTC TUE SEP 09 2008
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNINGS EAST OF THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN
BRAC.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF IKE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  82.1W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  75SE  30SW  90NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  82.1W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  81.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.7N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  30SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.5N  85.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.2N  86.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.0N  88.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.5N  93.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 27.0N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 28.0N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  82.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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