Tropical Storm IKE

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TROPICAL STORM IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  45.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  90SE  30SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  45.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  44.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.3N  47.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.9N  50.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.5N  53.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  45.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/KNABB
 
 
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