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Tropical Storm HANNA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082008               
1500 UTC SUN AUG 31 2008                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       1       2       2       3       5      11
TROP DEPRESSION  6      14      11      11      10      10      15
TROPICAL STORM  90      77      69      57      47      41      35
HURRICANE        4       8      18      30      39      45      39
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        3       7      15      24      27      29      23
HUR CAT 2        X       1       2       5       8      11       9
HUR CAT 3        1       1       1       2       3       4       5
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       1       1       2
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   45KT    45KT    50KT    55KT    60KT    65KT    70KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
CHARLESTON SC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)
JACKSONVILLE   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  10(16)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   8(14)
ORLANDO FL     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   9(18)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
COCOA BEACH FL 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   8(18)
FT PIERCE FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
FT PIERCE FL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)   7(19)
W PALM BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
W PALM BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   7(18)
MIAMI FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
MIAMI FL       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   4(12)
MARATHON FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
MARATHON FL    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)
MARCO ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
MARCO ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   7(13)
FT MYERS FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
FT MYERS FL    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   7(12)
VENICE FL      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
VENICE FL      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)
TAMPA FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
TAMPA FL       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
CEDAR KEY FL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
APALACHICOLA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)  13(20)   8(28)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)
GRAND BAHAMA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)  12(19)  15(34)   4(38)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   3(14)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
ANDROS         34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)  12(20)  11(31)   5(36)
ANDROS         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   2(12)
ANDROS         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  1   2( 3)  11(14)  11(25)  17(42)   9(51)   3(54)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   9(13)   7(20)   1(21)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  2   9(11)  19(30)  13(43)  12(55)   7(62)   3(65)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   9(19)   4(23)   2(25)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  3  15(18)  20(38)   8(46)  12(58)   4(62)   1(63)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   6(13)   6(19)   2(21)   1(22)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
GRAND TURK     34  8   9(17)   9(26)   4(30)   9(39)   2(41)   X(41)
GRAND TURK     50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   7(12)   5(17)   1(18)
CAMAGUEY       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   8(16)   5(21)   X(21)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  1   1( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   6(14)   2(16)   1(17)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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