Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm HANNA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082008               
0300 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       1       1       X       X       1       3
TROP DEPRESSION  2       3       5       2       3       3       7
TROPICAL STORM  90      72      55      36      22      25      34
HURRICANE        7      24      39      62      75      71      56
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        6      22      33      40      34      31      28
HUR CAT 2        1       2       4      15      23      20      15
HUR CAT 3        1       X       2       5      14      15      11
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       2       4       4       2
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       1       1       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   50KT    55KT    60KT    70KT    80KT    80KT    75KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
FT PIERCE FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
FT PIERCE FL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)
W PALM BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
W PALM BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)
MIAMI FL       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   4(11)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   7(15)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
GRAND BAHAMA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   8(17)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   8(14)
ANDROS         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
ANDROS         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   8(17)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   9(16)   8(24)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)   7(19)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)   5(17)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)
 
SAN JUAN       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART/BEVEN                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN