Hurricane DOLLY
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
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HURRICANE DOLLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
1500 UTC WED JUL 23 2008
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 2 34 X X X X
TROP DEPRESSION X 23 49 X X X X
TROPICAL STORM 6 71 17 X X X X
HURRICANE 94 5 1 X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 74 4 1 X X X X
HUR CAT 2 18 1 X X X X X
HUR CAT 3 2 X X X X X X
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 80KT 45KT 25KT 0KT 0KT 0KT 0KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 280N 930W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
HOUSTON TX 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUSTIN TX 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 5 6(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
FREEPORT TX 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
PORT O CONNOR 34 26 3(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
PORT O CONNOR 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 74 4(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50 9 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 5 X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BROWNSVILLE TX 64 39 X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LA PESCO MX 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
TAMPICO MX 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
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