Hurricane DOLLY

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DOLLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11                 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042008               
0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2008                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       1      19       X       X       X       X
TROP DEPRESSION  1      11      49       X       X       X       X
TROPICAL STORM  26      67      26       X       X       X       X
HURRICANE       74      21       6       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       56      16       4       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 2       15       4       1       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 3        2       1       1       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   80KT    50KT    30KT     0KT     0KT     0KT     0KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GFMX 280N 930W 34  4   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
AUSTIN TX      34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  3   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  5   5(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34 14   5(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34 13   9(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
PORT O CONNOR  50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 26  16(42)   2(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50  1   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34 64   4(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  6   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 95   3(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50 53  13(66)   1(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
BROWNSVILLE TX 64 23  12(35)   2(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 250N 960W 64 75   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 
LA PESCO MX    34 15   6(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
TAMPICO MX     34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
TUXPAN MX      34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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