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Tropical Storm DOLLY


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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042008
0900 UTC TUE JUL 22 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO PORT O'CONNOR.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO
NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO
SAN LUIS PASS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.   A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  93.8W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE  30SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  93.8W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  93.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.1N  95.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.0N  96.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.7N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 26.0N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 26.0N 102.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N  93.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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