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Tropical Storm DOLLY (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042008
1545 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008
 
AT 1145 AM EDT...1545 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE
BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  84.2W AT 20/1545Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 175SE 100SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  84.2W AT 20/1545Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  83.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.7N  86.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.1N  89.5W...INLAND OVER YUCATAN
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.2N  92.2W...OVER GULF OF MEXICO
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.0N  94.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 26.0N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 27.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N  84.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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