Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL

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TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032008
2100 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
  
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  77.9W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  77.9W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N  78.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.7N  77.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 34.7N  75.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 35.9N  73.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 38.0N  71.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 43.5N  64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  45SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N  77.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
 
 
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