Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
2100 UTC SAT JUL 12 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  62.6W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   1 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  62.6W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  62.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.4N  62.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.0N  62.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.0N  62.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.0N  62.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 34.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 35.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 35.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N  62.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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