Tropical Depression KIKO

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007               
0300 UTC TUE OCT 23 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA SOCORRO   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   7( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 192N 1125W 34 15   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 12 192N 1125W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 192N 1125W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 191N 1149W 34  X   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 24 191N 1149W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 191N 1149W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 190N 1170W 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 36 190N 1170W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 190N 1170W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 195N 1190W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 48 195N 1190W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 195N 1190W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 205N 1215W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 205N 1215W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 205N 1215W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     25      20      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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