Tropical Storm KIKO

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007               
0900 UTC THU OCT 18 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
CULICAN        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)
 
SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)
 
P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)   1(13)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   7(18)   3(21)   1(22)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   6(17)   2(19)   1(20)
MANZANILLO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
L CARDENAS     34  X   4( 4)   7(11)   4(15)   3(18)   X(18)   1(19)
L CARDENAS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
ACAPULCO       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   5(11)   3(14)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 159N 1036W 34 21  23(44)   3(47)   2(49)   1(50)   1(51)   X(51)
 12 159N 1036W 50  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 12 159N 1036W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 167N 1035W 34  5  24(29)   7(36)   5(41)   2(43)   X(43)   1(44)
 24 167N 1035W 50  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 24 167N 1035W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 175N 1038W 34  1  11(12)  12(24)   8(32)   3(35)   2(37)   X(37)
 36 175N 1038W 50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 36 175N 1038W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 182N 1045W 34  X   4( 4)   8(12)  10(22)   7(29)   3(32)   1(33)
 48 182N 1045W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)
 48 182N 1045W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 190N 1055W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)   8(20)   4(24)   2(26)
 72 190N 1055W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 72 190N 1055W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
 96 200N 1065W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   6(17)   2(19)
 96 200N 1065W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 96 200N 1065W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 220N 1080W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)
120 220N 1080W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 220N 1080W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      40      45      50      55      55
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN