Tropical Storm KIKO
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TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007
1500 UTC FRI OCT 19 2007
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KIKO.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 105.1W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 180SE 180SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 105.1W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 105.0W
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.5N 105.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.9N 106.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.2N 107.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 105SW 105NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 21.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 22.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 105.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
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FORECASTER BEVEN
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