Tropical Storm KIKO
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TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007
1500 UTC THU OCT 18 2007
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM
ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF
MANZANILLO TO LA FORTUNA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.4W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 75SE 90SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 240SE 180SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.4W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 103.5W
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.0N 103.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 75SE 90SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.5N 103.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.0N 103.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N 104.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.5N 105.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 20.5N 106.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.0N 107.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 103.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
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FORECASTER BEVEN
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