ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 1500 UTC WED OCT 17 2007 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 106.9W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 75SE 90SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 240SE 240SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 106.9W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 107.1W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.2N 106.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 75SE 90SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.7N 106.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.1N 106.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.7N 106.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.5N 107.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 18.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 19.5N 108.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 106.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:05 UTC