ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO DISCUSSION NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 200 PM PDT TUE OCT 23 2007 SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY...THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED AND KIKO IS NOW IS A SWIRL OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS. ANALYSIS FROM A 1326 UTC QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED A FEW CREDIBLE 30 KT WIND VECTORS... HOWEVER...IT IS PROBABLE THAT KIKO HAS BEEN WEAKENING SINCE THAT TIME. DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS...DEEP CONVECTION HAS SPORADICALLY DEVELOPED AND QUICKLY WEAKENED. GIVEN THE LACK OF PERSISTENCE AND ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION...THIS SYSTEM NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. WHILE ADDITIONAL TEMPORARY BURSTS OF CONVECTION MIGHT RECUR...A CONTINUED SPIN-DOWN OF THE REMNANT CYCLONE IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON KIKO UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/2100Z 18.3N 114.4W 25 KT 12HR VT 24/0600Z 18.1N 116.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 24/1800Z 18.2N 118.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 25/0600Z 18.3N 120.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 25/1800Z 19.0N 122.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:06 UTC