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Tropical Storm JULIETTE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142007               
0300 UTC SUN SEP 30 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA SOCORRO   34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  2  16(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 182N 1127W 34 44  19(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 12 182N 1127W 50  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 12 182N 1127W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 200N 1138W 34  1  46(47)   7(54)   1(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 24 200N 1138W 50  X   7( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 24 200N 1138W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 213N 1146W 34  X  15(15)  17(32)   4(36)   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 36 213N 1146W 50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 36 213N 1146W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 220N 1154W 34  X   5( 5)  13(18)   7(25)   2(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 48 220N 1154W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 48 220N 1154W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 225N 1165W 34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   5(13)   2(15)   1(16)   X(16)
 72 225N 1165W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 225N 1165W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 225N 1175W 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 96 225N 1175W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 96 225N 1175W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      40      35      25      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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