Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132007
1700 UTC WED SEP 19 2007

...CORRECTED FOR 30 KT INITIAL INTENSITY...
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 127.9W AT 19/1700Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 127.9W AT 19/1700Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 127.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.2N 128.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.2N 129.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.2N 129.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 129.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.5N 128.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 19.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 20.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 127.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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