Tropical Depression IVO

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007               
1500 UTC SUN SEP 23 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CULICAN        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 226N 1106W 34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 226N 1106W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 12 226N 1106W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 232N 1097W 34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 24 232N 1097W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 232N 1097W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 238N 1091W 34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 36 238N 1091W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 36 238N 1091W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 245N 1085W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 48 245N 1085W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 48 245N 1085W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     20     20      20      20       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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