Tropical Storm IVO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007
1500 UTC SAT SEP 22 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) 3(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13)
LA PAZ 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
LORETO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
CULICAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 219N 1124W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 219N 1124W 50 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
12 219N 1124W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 224N 1118W 34 45 12(57) 2(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) 1(61)
24 224N 1118W 50 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
24 224N 1118W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 230N 1112W 34 5 18(23) 6(29) 2(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
36 230N 1112W 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 230N 1112W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 235N 1106W 34 1 7( 8) 7(15) 3(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20)
48 235N 1106W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 235N 1106W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 242N 1098W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11)
72 242N 1098W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 242N 1098W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 250N 1095W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)
96 250N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 250N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 260N 1095W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
120 260N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 260N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 40 35 30 25 20 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
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