Tropical Storm IVO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007
0300 UTC SAT SEP 22 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 1( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 2(13) X(13) 1(14)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12)
LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
CULICAN 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 212N 1128W 34 93 2(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 212N 1128W 50 34 2(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
12 212N 1128W 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 220N 1123W 34 39 22(61) 2(63) 1(64) X(64) 1(65) X(65)
24 220N 1123W 50 3 7(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
24 220N 1123W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 226N 1118W 34 5 26(31) 8(39) 2(41) X(41) 1(42) X(42)
36 226N 1118W 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
36 226N 1118W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 231N 1113W 34 1 11(12) 10(22) 4(26) 1(27) 1(28) X(28)
48 231N 1113W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 231N 1113W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 242N 1103W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) X(11) 1(12)
72 242N 1103W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 242N 1103W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 245N 1100W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
96 245N 1100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 245N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 250N 1095W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
120 250N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
120 250N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 45 40 35 25 25 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BERG/BLAKE
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