Tropical Depression TWELVE-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E
SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007
1700 UTC TUE SEP 18 2007
AT 1700Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 17(28) 3(31) 1(32)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 139N 1090W 34 13 8(21) X(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
12 139N 1090W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 139N 1090W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 147N 1112W 34 X 23(23) 12(35) 2(37) 1(38) 1(39) X(39)
24 147N 1112W 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
24 147N 1112W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 155N 1128W 34 X 4( 4) 24(28) 10(38) 4(42) 1(43) X(43)
36 155N 1128W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11)
36 155N 1128W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 164N 1141W 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 17(28) 10(38) 2(40) X(40)
48 164N 1141W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11)
48 164N 1141W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 185N 1150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 17(26) 5(31) X(31)
72 185N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
72 185N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 200N 1145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 13(16) 5(21) 1(22)
96 200N 1145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 200N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 210N 1130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 1(13)
120 210N 1130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 210N 1130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 45 50 40 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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