Hurricane IVO
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HURRICANE IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007
0900 UTC THU SEP 20 2007
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 112.5W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 30SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 65SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 65SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 112.5W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 112.4W
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.3N 113.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.3N 113.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.3N 113.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.3N 112.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 23.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 25.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 112.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
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FORECASTER MAINELLI
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