ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
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TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007
0300 UTC SAT SEP 01 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 17(22) 4(26) X(26)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 14(19) 4(23) X(23)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 5(15) X(15)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10)
SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12)
P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 5(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 24(24) 11(35) 2(37) 2(39) X(39) X(39)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MANZANILLO 34 1 22(23) 5(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
MANZANILLO 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
L CARDENAS 34 33 2(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 3(18) 1(19)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 10(18) 6(24) 1(25) X(25)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 178N 1035W 34 50 21(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
12 178N 1035W 50 13 6(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
12 178N 1035W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 187N 1051W 34 X 44(44) 13(57) 3(60) X(60) 1(61) X(61)
24 187N 1051W 50 X 12(12) 6(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
24 187N 1051W 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 195N 1066W 34 X 6( 6) 35(41) 12(53) 4(57) X(57) X(57)
36 195N 1066W 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
36 195N 1066W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 202N 1082W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 24(37) 11(48) 1(49) 1(50)
48 202N 1082W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17)
48 202N 1082W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 215N 1110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 22(28) 7(35) 1(36)
72 215N 1110W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
72 215N 1110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 225N 1130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 7(19) 1(20)
96 225N 1130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
96 225N 1130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 240N 1150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11)
120 240N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
120 240N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 55 60 65 65 60 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC