| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Tropical Storm HENRIETTE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007               
2100 UTC FRI AUG 31 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  16(19)   7(26)   2(28)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)   8(25)   1(26)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   8(17)   2(19)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
 
CULICAN        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   1(11)
 
MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)   1(12)
 
SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   6(18)   1(19)   X(19)
 
P VALLARTA     34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  11(22)   5(27)   1(28)   X(28)
P VALLARTA     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   7( 7)  29(36)   8(44)   3(47)   X(47)   X(47)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X  11(11)  22(33)   6(39)   3(42)   X(42)   X(42)
MANZANILLO     50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
L CARDENAS     34  8  20(28)   3(31)   X(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
L CARDENAS     50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34 11   3(14)   2(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   6(21)   1(22)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  13(18)  11(29)   2(31)   X(31)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 169N 1023W 34 43  17(60)   1(61)   X(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 12 169N 1023W 50  5   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 12 169N 1023W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 180N 1040W 34  X  43(43)  14(57)   2(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 24 180N 1040W 50  X  11(11)   9(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 24 180N 1040W 64  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 188N 1055W 34  X   8( 8)  37(45)  10(55)   4(59)   1(60)   X(60)
 36 188N 1055W 50  X   1( 1)  15(16)   7(23)   2(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 36 188N 1055W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 195N 1070W 34  X   1( 1)  19(20)  23(43)  13(56)   1(57)   X(57)
 48 195N 1070W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   6(21)   1(22)   X(22)
 48 195N 1070W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 210N 1100W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  26(32)   8(40)   2(42)
 72 210N 1100W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   X(12)
 72 210N 1100W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 230N 1120W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  11(21)   3(24)
 96 230N 1120W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 96 230N 1120W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 245N 1135W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   3(14)
120 245N 1135W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
120 245N 1135W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     55      65      70      70      65      60
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC