Tropical Storm GIL

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102007               
1500 UTC FRI AUG 31 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 192N 1191W 34 36   8(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 12 192N 1191W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 192N 1191W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 194N 1213W 34  1  25(26)   8(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 24 194N 1213W 50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 24 194N 1213W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 199N 1236W 34  X   3( 3)  18(21)   9(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 36 199N 1236W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 36 199N 1236W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 204N 1258W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  15(19)   4(23)   1(24)   X(24)
 48 204N 1258W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 48 204N 1258W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 207N 1303W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   2(12)   X(12)
 72 207N 1303W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 72 207N 1303W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 210N 1345W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 96 210N 1345W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 210N 1345W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 210N 1385W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 210N 1385W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 210N 1385W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     35      35      35      30      25      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MUNDELL/BLAKE                                         
                                                                    
                                                                    
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