Tropical Storm ERICK
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082007
2100 UTC WED AUG 01 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 137N 1284W 34 20 7(27) 2(29) X(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
12 137N 1284W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 137N 1284W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 139N 1300W 34 X 25(25) 12(37) 3(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
24 139N 1300W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 139N 1300W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 142N 1315W 34 X 4( 4) 24(28) 10(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41)
36 142N 1315W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
36 142N 1315W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 144N 1333W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 19(27) 9(36) X(36) 1(37)
48 144N 1333W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
48 144N 1333W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 147N 1368W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 5(23) 2(25)
72 147N 1368W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
72 147N 1368W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 150N 1395W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 3(16)
96 150N 1395W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
96 150N 1395W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 150N 1430W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6)
120 150N 1430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 150N 1430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 45 45 40 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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