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Tropical Storm DALILA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
1500 UTC THU JUL 26 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 226N 1153W 34 26  11(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 12 226N 1153W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 226N 1153W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 234N 1169W 34  2  14(16)   3(19)   X(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 24 234N 1169W 50  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 234N 1169W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 240N 1184W 34  X   3( 3)   8(11)   2(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 36 240N 1184W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 240N 1184W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 245N 1198W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 48 245N 1198W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 245N 1198W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 250N 1215W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 72 250N 1215W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 250N 1215W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 250N 1235W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 96 250N 1235W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 96 250N 1235W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     30      25      20      20      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER LANDSEA/AVILA                                          
                                                                    
                                                                    
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