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Tropical Storm DALILA (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
0300 UTC WED JUL 25 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34 74  17(91)   2(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
ISLA SOCORRO   50 19  14(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 191N 1109W 34 56  30(86)   2(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 12 191N 1109W 50 16  20(36)   1(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 12 191N 1109W 64  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 24 200N 1117W 34  3  54(57)  13(70)   3(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 24 200N 1117W 50  X  18(18)   9(27)   1(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 24 200N 1117W 64  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 36 207N 1126W 34  X  20(20)  30(50)  10(60)   4(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 36 207N 1126W 50  X   4( 4)  14(18)   4(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 36 207N 1126W 64  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 214N 1139W 34  X   3( 3)  19(22)  18(40)   8(48)   X(48)   1(49)
 48 214N 1139W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 214N 1139W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 225N 1170W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  15(19)   3(22)   X(22)
 72 225N 1170W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 72 225N 1170W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 230N 1200W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)
 96 230N 1200W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 230N 1200W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 235N 1230W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
120 235N 1230W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 235N 1230W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     55     60      60      55      45      30      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:59 UTC