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Tropical Storm DALILA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
1500 UTC TUE JUL 24 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  1  21(22)   8(30)   2(32)   3(35)   X(35)   X(35)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  1   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   8(17)   5(22)   X(22)   X(22)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 175N 1112W 34 41  33(74)   3(77)   X(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 12 175N 1112W 50  9  11(20)   1(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 12 175N 1112W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 24 185N 1119W 34  1  44(45)  15(60)   3(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 24 185N 1119W 50  X  15(15)   6(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 24 185N 1119W 64  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 193N 1128W 34  X  13(13)  28(41)  10(51)   4(55)   1(56)   X(56)
 36 193N 1128W 50  X   3( 3)   9(12)   4(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 36 193N 1128W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 201N 1138W 34  X   2( 2)  17(19)  14(33)   9(42)   1(43)   X(43)
 48 201N 1138W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 48 201N 1138W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 216N 1164W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  16(21)   2(23)   1(24)
 72 216N 1164W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 72 216N 1164W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 225N 1193W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)
 96 225N 1193W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 225N 1193W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 233N 1220W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
120 233N 1220W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 233N 1220W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     50      50      50      45      30      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BANN                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
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