Tropical Storm DALILA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007
0900 UTC MON JUL 23 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 16(25) 4(29) X(29)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 11(32) 2(34)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 141N 1092W 34 36 19(55) 3(58) 3(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62)
12 141N 1092W 50 5 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
12 141N 1092W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 148N 1100W 34 2 28(30) 13(43) 5(48) 3(51) X(51) X(51)
24 148N 1100W 50 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
24 148N 1100W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 156N 1107W 34 X 7( 7) 21(28) 14(42) 7(49) 1(50) X(50)
36 156N 1107W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15)
36 156N 1107W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 165N 1114W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 18(33) 14(47) 2(49) X(49)
48 165N 1114W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 6(16) 1(17) X(17)
48 165N 1114W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
72 185N 1135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 25(31) 9(40) 2(42)
72 185N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12)
72 185N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 205N 1165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) 4(23)
96 205N 1165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
96 205N 1165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 225N 1200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9)
120 225N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 225N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 40 45 55 60 55 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
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