Tropical Depression SIX-E

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007               
0900 UTC SUN JUL 15 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 119N 1282W 34 15  10(25)   2(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 12 119N 1282W 50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 119N 1282W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 130N 1295W 34  1  23(24)  14(38)   1(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 24 130N 1295W 50  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 24 130N 1295W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 140N 1310W 34  X   4( 4)  30(34)   9(43)   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 36 140N 1310W 50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 140N 1310W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 145N 1330W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  20(30)   8(38)   X(38)   1(39)
 48 145N 1330W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 48 145N 1330W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 150N 1365W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   5(21)   1(22)
 72 150N 1365W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 72 150N 1365W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 155N 1400W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   2(12)
 96 155N 1400W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 155N 1400W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 160N 1440W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
120 160N 1440W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 160N 1440W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      45      45      40      35      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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