Hurricane COSME
ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007
0300 UTC TUE JUL 17 2007
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 132.6W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 132.6W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 132.1W
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.5N 134.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.9N 136.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.3N 138.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.7N 141.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 18.5N 153.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N 159.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 132.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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