ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042007 200 PM PDT TUE JUL 10 2007 THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF DEPRESSION FOUR-E HAS QUICKLY DETERIORATED TODAY...AND THE CYCLONE HAS LOST ALMOST ALL OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION. VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AND ILL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. BASED ON THE ABOVE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 25 KT. THE COOL WATERS AND MODERATE SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE CYCLONE AND THE DEPRESSION SHOULD WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW WITHIN A DAY OR SO. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 305/8. THE FORECAST REASONING REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...EXCEPT THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A GENERAL NORTHWEST TRACK UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/2100Z 19.4N 121.2W 25 KT 12HR VT 11/0600Z 20.0N 122.3W 25 KT 24HR VT 11/1800Z 20.6N 123.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 12/0600Z 21.3N 125.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:56 UTC