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Tropical Storm BARBARA (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022007               
2100 UTC THU MAY 31 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P MALDONADO    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
P ANGEL        34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   6(15)   2(17)   1(18)
 
HUATULCO       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   7(10)   5(15)   3(18)   1(19)
HUATULCO       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
SALINA CRUZ    34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   9(13)   6(19)   2(21)   X(21)
SALINA CRUZ    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TAPACHULA      34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)   4(16)   1(17)   1(18)
 
P SAN JOSE     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 129N  950W 34 27  14(41)   5(46)   3(49)   1(50)   1(51)   X(51)
 12 129N  950W 50  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 12 129N  950W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 133N  946W 34  9  20(29)   9(38)   4(42)   3(45)   1(46)   X(46)
 24 133N  946W 50  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 24 133N  946W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 140N  944W 34  3  11(14)  16(30)   8(38)   3(41)   2(43)   1(44)
 36 140N  944W 50  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 140N  944W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 150N  945W 34  1   4( 5)  10(15)  11(26)   6(32)   3(35)   1(36)
 48 150N  945W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 48 150N  945W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 155N  950W 34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)  11(20)   6(26)   1(27)   2(29)
 72 155N  950W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 72 155N  950W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 160N  955W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   7(12)   6(18)   2(20)   X(20)
 96 160N  955W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 96 160N  955W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 165N  960W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   2(13)   1(14)
120 165N  960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
120 165N  960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      50      40      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:55 UTC