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Tropical Storm BARBARA (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022007               
0300 UTC THU MAY 31 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
ACAPULCO       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)
 
P MALDONADO    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)   5(13)   3(16)
 
P ANGEL        34  1   1( 2)   4( 6)   5(11)   9(20)   8(28)   3(31)
P ANGEL        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)
 
HUATULCO       34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   9(19)   8(27)   3(30)
HUATULCO       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
SALINA CRUZ    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   7(12)   7(19)   3(22)
 
TAPACHULA      34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   5( 8)   5(13)   3(16)
 
P SAN JOSE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 126N  968W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 126N  968W 50  9   6(15)  11(26)   1(27)   2(29)   1(30)   X(30)
 12 126N  968W 64  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)
 
 24 124N  967W 34 68   6(74)   9(83)   X(83)   1(84)   2(86)   X(86)
 24 124N  967W 50  7   8(15)  11(26)   1(27)   2(29)   2(31)   X(31)
 24 124N  967W 64  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
 36 127N  965W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 36 127N  965W 50  8   6(14)  10(24)   2(26)   3(29)   1(30)   X(30)
 36 127N  965W 64  1   1( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
 48 131N  963W 34 59   5(64)   8(72)   2(74)   2(76)   1(77)   X(77)
 48 131N  963W 50  3   4( 7)  11(18)   4(22)   4(26)   1(27)   X(27)
 48 131N  963W 64  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 72 140N  960W 34  5   8(13)  20(33)   9(42)   9(51)   4(55)   1(56)
 72 140N  960W 50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   5(13)   3(16)   X(16)
 72 140N  960W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 150N  965W 34  1   3( 4)   7(11)   8(19)  10(29)   7(36)   2(38)
 96 150N  965W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 96 150N  965W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 155N  975W 34  1   1( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   8(18)   7(25)   4(29)
120 155N  975W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)
120 155N  975W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     50      55      60      65      70      70
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:55 UTC