Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm BARBARA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022007               
1500 UTC WED MAY 30 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)
 
ACAPULCO       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)
 
P MALDONADO    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   9(18)   5(23)
P MALDONADO    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
P ANGEL        34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)  13(21)  12(33)   4(37)
P ANGEL        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)
 
HUATULCO       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)  12(19)  13(32)   3(35)
HUATULCO       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
 
SALINA CRUZ    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   6( 7)   8(15)   2(17)
SALINA CRUZ    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
TAPACHULA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)   2(13)
TAPACHULA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
P SAN JOSE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 139N  972W 34 35   6(41)   5(46)   7(53)   7(60)   3(63)   1(64)
 12 139N  972W 50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   7(11)   4(15)   4(19)   X(19)
 12 139N  972W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
 24 134N  971W 34 11  13(24)   9(33)  11(44)   8(52)   3(55)   1(56)
 24 134N  971W 50  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   5(11)   4(15)   3(18)   X(18)
 24 134N  971W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 36 130N  970W 34  3  14(17)  10(27)  12(39)   8(47)   4(51)   2(53)
 36 130N  970W 50  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   4(11)   5(16)   2(18)   1(19)
 36 130N  970W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 130N  968W 34  3  14(17)  12(29)  11(40)   8(48)   5(53)   1(54)
 48 130N  968W 50  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   5(11)   4(15)   3(18)   1(19)
 48 130N  968W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 72 135N  965W 34  6  10(16)  10(26)  10(36)  10(46)   5(51)   2(53)
 72 135N  965W 50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   5(15)   4(19)   1(20)
 72 135N  965W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 150N  975W 34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)  13(20)  12(32)  12(44)   3(47)
 96 150N  975W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   6(13)   1(14)
 96 150N  975W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
120 165N 1000W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   6(11)   5(16)
120 165N 1000W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 165N 1000W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      50      60      70      75      70
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN