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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression ONE-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012007               
2100 UTC SUN MAY 27 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 133N 1114W 34 14   9(23)   5(28)   4(32)   1(33)   1(34)   X(34)
 12 133N 1114W 50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 12 133N 1114W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 134N 1120W 34  8  12(20)   7(27)   6(33)   2(35)   X(35)   1(36)
 24 134N 1120W 50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 24 134N 1120W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 135N 1128W 34  1   8( 9)  13(22)   7(29)   4(33)   1(34)   1(35)
 36 135N 1128W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 36 135N 1128W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 135N 1136W 34  X   4( 4)  11(15)  10(25)   5(30)   3(33)   X(33)
 48 135N 1136W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 48 135N 1136W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 135N 1145W 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  10(17)   7(24)   3(27)   1(28)
 72 135N 1145W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
 72 135N 1145W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 133N 1155W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   7(17)   3(20)   1(21)
 96 133N 1155W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 96 133N 1155W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 130N 1165W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   4(14)   1(15)
120 130N 1165W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
120 130N 1165W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      35      40      40      40      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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