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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression ONE-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012007               
0300 UTC SUN MAY 27 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 125N 1115W 34 35  20(55)   3(58)   1(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 12 125N 1115W 50  2   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 12 125N 1115W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 124N 1126W 34  6  41(47)  11(58)   2(60)   3(63)   1(64)   X(64)
 24 124N 1126W 50  X   9( 9)   5(14)   2(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 24 124N 1126W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 123N 1135W 34  1  26(27)  20(47)   8(55)   5(60)   2(62)   1(63)
 36 123N 1135W 50  X   3( 3)  10(13)   4(17)   3(20)   1(21)   X(21)
 36 123N 1135W 64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
 48 123N 1144W 34  X  10(10)  22(32)  11(43)  10(53)   3(56)   1(57)
 48 123N 1144W 50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   6(13)   5(18)   1(19)   X(19)
 48 123N 1144W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 125N 1160W 34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)  12(20)  16(36)   7(43)   2(45)
 72 125N 1160W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   3(14)   1(15)
 72 125N 1160W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 125N 1180W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  11(16)  10(26)   4(30)
 96 125N 1180W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
 96 125N 1180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 130N 1210W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   5(14)
120 130N 1210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
120 130N 1210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     45      50      55      60      60      55
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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