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Tropical Depression OLGA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172007               
2100 UTC WED DEC 12 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 191N  798W 34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 12 191N  798W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 12 191N  798W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 194N  823W 34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 24 194N  823W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 24 194N  823W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 199N  840W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 36 199N  840W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 199N  840W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 204N  855W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 48 204N  855W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 204N  855W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 220N  870W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 220N  870W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 220N  870W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     25     20      20      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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