ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 0300 UTC TUE DEC 11 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GRAND TURK 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) LES CAYES 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 10(10) 12(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) CAPE BEATA 34 X 9( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PUERTO PLATA 34 4 26(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) SANTO DOMINGO 34 8 29(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PONCE 34 19 X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) SAN JUAN 34 79 X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) SAINT THOMAS 34 51 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 185N 676W 34 51 4(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) 12 185N 676W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 185N 676W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 184N 706W 34 2 26(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) 24 184N 706W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 184N 706W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 180N 738W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 36 180N 738W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 180N 738W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 178N 769W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 178N 769W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 178N 769W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 30 25 25 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Wednesday, 12-Dec-2007 19:17:11 UTC