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Tropical Storm OLGA


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TROPICAL STORM OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172007
1100 PM AST TUE DEC 11 2007
 
...OLGA TRAVERSING HISPANIOLA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE
ST. NICHOLAS HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS
LOCATED INLAND OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
70.6 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 90 KM...NORTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO
IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 250 MILES...400 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF A WEAKER OLGA SHOULD MOVE OVER THE
WINDWARD PASSAGE AND THEN OVER THE WATERS BETWEEN CUBA AND JAMAICA
LATE WEDNESDAY.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OLGA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES IN PUERTO
RICO AND HISPANIOLA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...19.0 N...70.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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