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Subtropical Storm OLGA


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SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172007
1100 AM AST TUE DEC 11 2007
 
...WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA...

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS AT THE NORTHWESTERN TIP
OF HAITI.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE
NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST OR ABOUT 130
MILES...205 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 125 MILES...205 KM...WEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO
RICO.
 
OLGA IS MOVING JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PASS VERY
CLOSE TO THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT SOME
WEAKENING IS LIKELY TOMORROW AS OLGA ENCOUNTERS STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS.
 
OLGA'S STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION...WHICH IS A CHARACTERISTIC OF SUBTROPICAL CYCLONES.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41043...ABOUT 270
MILES FROM THE CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40
MPH WITH A GUST TO 54 MPH. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS HAVE ALREADY
PRODUCED LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES IN PUERTO
RICO.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...18.1 N...68.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN
 
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