Hurricane NOEL
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE NOEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
1500 UTC FRI NOV 02 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS
...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 13(28) X(28) X(28)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 26(26) 23(49) X(49) X(49)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 41(41) 20(61) X(61) X(61)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 14(25) X(25) X(25)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 58(64) 4(68) X(68) X(68)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 29(29) 4(33) X(33) X(33)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 52(53) 9(62) X(62) X(62)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) 6(24) X(24) X(24)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 34(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 24(24) 53(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 41(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 46(46) 27(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 14(14) 27(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 10(10) 48(58) 2(60) X(60) X(60)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 27(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29)
MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 19(19) 35(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 22(22) 24(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 21(21) 11(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 14(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 13(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
BOSTON MA 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
HYANNIS MA 34 X 5( 5) 28(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X 8( 8) 31(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 4( 4) 12(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
HARTFORD CT 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEWARK NJ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TRENTON NJ 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DOVER DE 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 325N 715W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 325N 715W 50 91 3(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
12 325N 715W 64 32 6(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
24 371N 697W 34 4 86(90) 3(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
24 371N 697W 50 X 63(63) 9(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
24 371N 697W 64 X 22(22) 7(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
36 418N 669W 34 X 5( 5) 75(80) 6(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
36 418N 669W 50 X X( X) 50(50) 11(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
36 418N 669W 64 X X( X) 19(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
48 475N 625W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 52(53) 12(65) X(65) X(65)
48 475N 625W 50 X X( X) X( X) 22(22) 9(31) X(31) X(31)
48 475N 625W 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
72 580N 540W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 39(39) 7(46) X(46)
72 580N 540W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 4(18) X(18)
72 580N 540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 670N 470W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) X(19)
96 670N 470W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
96 670N 470W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 70 75 65 60 35 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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