Hurricane NOEL

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HURRICANE NOEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
1500 UTC FRI NOV 02 2007
 
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD
SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS
FORECAST OFFICE.  INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD
CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF
ENVIRONMENT CANADA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  73.8W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE   0SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 180SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT.......240NE 300SE  75SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 420SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  73.8W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  74.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.5N  71.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 210SE 100SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 150SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.1N  69.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...180NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 300SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 41.8N  66.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...420NE 480SE 300SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 47.5N  62.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW   0NW.
34 KT...480NE 540SE 420SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 58.0N  54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...180NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 540SE 360SW 420NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 67.0N  47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N  73.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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