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Tropical Storm NOEL (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM NOEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
0300 UTC THU NOV 01 2007
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...
GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO
JUPITER INLET FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  78.5W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  78.5W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  78.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.3N  78.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.5N  77.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.5N  70.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 42.0N  63.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...180NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 180SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 50.0N  53.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 55.0N  42.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N  78.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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