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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN (Text)

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
1500 UTC SUN OCT 28 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA IN THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR JAMAICA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  72.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  72.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  72.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.0N  73.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.0N  76.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 22.0N  80.0W...INLAND OVER CUBA
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 24.0N  78.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  72.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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