Tropical Storm MELISSA
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
0300 UTC SUN SEP 30 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 30.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 165N 316W 34 58 8(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
12 165N 316W 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
12 165N 316W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 174N 337W 34 3 26(29) 5(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
24 174N 337W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 174N 337W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 184N 358W 34 X 4( 4) 16(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
36 184N 358W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 184N 358W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 195N 380W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17)
48 195N 380W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 195N 380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 220N 420W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10)
72 220N 420W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 220N 420W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 245N 445W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
96 245N 445W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 245N 445W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 35 35 30 25 20 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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