Tropical Storm LORENZO
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
1800 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TAMPICO MX 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
TUXPAN MX 34 3 16(19) 8(27) 4(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
TUXPAN MX 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
VERACRUZ MX 34 4 8(12) 6(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 204N 960W 34 70 9(79) 2(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
12 204N 960W 50 23 10(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
12 204N 960W 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 203N 967W 34 26 27(53) 6(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
24 203N 967W 50 5 10(15) 3(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
24 203N 967W 64 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 205N 975W 34 4 17(21) 8(29) 3(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
36 205N 975W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 205N 975W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 210N 990W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 210N 990W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 210N 990W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 55 30 20 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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